Black Lives Matter Statistics and Damn Lies

Black Lives Matter statistics and damn lies

Black Lives Matter And The War On Police goes in-depth to the Black Lives Matter statistics which are largely fabricated

The following is an excerpt from nationally renowned forensic criminologist Ron Martinelli, Ph.D.’s new book “The Truth Behind the Black Lives Matter Movement and the War on Police

 

Black Lives Matter Statistics and Damn Lies

Perhaps the most damaging, utterly ridiculous, and patently false narrative advanced by the Black Lives Matter movement is that nationally, police officers kill a disproportionate number of black males during encounters.

After hearing it exclaimed time and again by BLM activists, I have determined that they say this as a deliberate scare tactic, hoping that no one will ever do the research and engage them. An excellent example of this tactic is what I heard one activist say on the Megyn Kelly show that I was on.

One BLM member told the audience, “One black man is murdered by police every 28 hours.” That’s absurd. Here’s the truth.

The most recent data from the FBI says there were 56,250 homicides nationwide from January 2009 to the end of 2012; 1,491 of these killings were the result of police uses of force. This equates to an average of roughly 372 persons a year dying as a result of police force intervention.

Of the 1,491 persons who died as a result of police uses of force during the researched period, 61.4% were white males. Only 32.2% were black males, and 3.2% were males from other races. Females dying as a result of a police use of force comprised the final 3.2% of deaths.

By comparison, of the 56,259 homicides reviewed from 2009–2012, 19,000, or nearly 39%, involved the killing of black males. Of these, only 2.5% involved the death of a black male as a result of a police use of force. In contrast to police officers, private citizen killings of black males in self-defense/justifiable homicides, at 3.4%, were higher than black male deaths attributed to police.

What stands out as a significant and shocking statistic is that 17,719 criminal homicides (murders) of black males, or 93.3% from 2009–2012, were at the hands of other criminals who were predominantly other black males (89.6%). This is what is referred to as “black-on-black crime.”

In sharp contrast to the false narrative that police officers have some racial motivation to kill black men, from 2009–2012, nearly 41% of murdered police officers were killed by black males; compare this to the 32% black male homicide rate mentioned above. This is significant, given the fact that blacks as a whole comprise only 13% of the U.S. population of over 316,000,000, and there are less than 900,000 peace officers in this country, including many who do not work in a street patrol capacity.

To put this study into perspective, an average of 120 black males, or one out of every 173,871 black males, die yearly as a result of police uses of force. When all homicides of black males are considered, black males are 35 times more likely to be murdered by another black male and 21 times more susceptible to being killed in a self-defense, justifiable homicide than killed by any police use of force.

A few more numbers: an average of 120 black males die each year as a result of a police use of force. University of Toledo Professor Richard Johnson’s research has found that the chances that a black man will be killed by police, is less than his chances of being killed by a lightning strike. From 1995 through 2002, 374 persons were killed by lightning in the U.S. This averages out to 0.23 lightning deaths per million persons per year. During that same eight-year period, only nine black males were killed by lightning. In essence, Dr. Johnson is correct. The chance of a black male dying as a result of police force intervention is statistically considerably far less than his chances of being struck by lightning. That’s far from the BLM movement’s assertion that police kill one black male every 28 hours.

BLM’s false assertion that police kill a black man every 28 hours doesn’t even reconcile using their numbers. There are approximately 1,251 28-hour periods in the four-year period from 2009 through 2012. That is presumably how many black males would have been killed by police during this period if the BLM movement’s claim were true. However, 32.2% of 1,491 deaths is 480 deaths. So, the “every 28 hours” claim is off by a whopping 250%.

To find out more about how the Black Lives Matter movement was founded on false statistics and damn lies, click HERE

Dr. Ron Martinelli

Dr. Ron Martinelli

Ron Martinelli, Ph.D., CMI-V, BCFT, CFA, is a nationally renowned forensic criminologist, federal/state qualified police practices expert, and a certified medical Investigator who directs the nation’s only multidisciplinary forensic death investigations and independent review team. Dr. Martinelli also works as a spokesman for Blue Lives Matter and sits on the Advisory Board. www.DrRonMartinelli.com.

  • Steve S

    BLACK Lives Matter are the same as Nazis

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  • dip

    A dispassionate discussion of facts and workable solutions is sorely needed in this conversation, and little is accomplished by either side in inflating claims. You have clearly demonstrated that the claim that a black man is killed ever 28 hours is false; I don’t know who in the BLM movement said this, but they certainly have a wide fringe and I would be curious to know if this statement was made by someone at the top, or someone more peripheral who just showed up to one of their rallies. Either way, the mistake should be corrected and this should not be one of their regular talking points; I personally have never heard someone say this statistic, but I don’t follow the news religiously.

    However, there are a number of observations one can make from the data you do report here that should draw some concern, and motivate discussion on what can be done to improve the situation. I believe there are a number of improvements that we can make to improve relationships between American communities and law enforcement, but it is unlikely to happen on its own if the following issues are not addressed.

    – Based on the numbers you report, it *is* true that one person (of any race) is killed roughly every 25 hours or so by police in this country. Naturally, the lion’s share of these deaths are likely to be justified by violent action on the part of the deceased prior to the engagement; however, there have been many reports of unarmed individuals being killed or seriously injured by police. Are there procedures that we can implement to reduce the scale of collateral damage/ unnecessary escalations? What responsibility do we have to ensure faith in law and order is not disrupted after the death of nonviolent individuals in a police encounter? Justice is paramount; it should not be “the people’s” justice but meaningful, visible disciplinary action and oversight may help to restore public faith after such a tragedy. http://www.yesmagazine.org/peace-justice/police-violence-is-not-inevitable-four-ways-a-california-police-chief-connected-cops-with-communities

    – Unless I am misreading a number somewhere, the observation that lightning is more likely to kill black males than police is incorrect. I am basing this on the paragraph that begins “An average of 120 black men are killed every year by the police” and says “Over the same eight year period, only 9 black men were killed by lightning. Based on the numbers reported at the beginning of the article, 32.2% of the 1491 people killed over the three years from 2009-2012 were black, yielding 480. Over 8 years, this would extrapolate (backwards) to 1280, meaning that a black man would be over 140 times more likely to be killed by police than by lightning. As an aside, an extrapolation of the 120 / year figure quoted above would give 960 over 8 years, making the relative risk from police a factor of 100 compared to black deaths from lightning. It is probably unfair to extrapolate backwards, as demographic numbers tend to swell with time because of population growth, and in addition I don’t know what exactly this statistic adds to the conversation; it only detracts from the validity of other, well-made arguments about the serious crime problem that exists in this country.

    – If 32.2 % of deaths in police shootings are of black men, and black people comprise 13 % of the population, then it is indeed true that a disproportionate amount of the people shot by police in this country are black, relative to their presence in the population. If you figure that only half of the 13% are men, then police are killing black men at 5x the rate you would expect if fatal shootings were evenly distributed across demographic lines. I don’t mean this as a condemning argument or to make any kind of statement about bigotry on the part of the officers. By comparison, white people compose 63% of the population, and only half are men, so they are roughly twice as likely to be killed as would be expected with even demographics. Of course demographics are not even, and no one is arguing that police should go out and kill women to make it more even. Ideally, police would never need to kill anyone because there would be no violent crime– any police officer would agree! If we ignore sex (because most people who are killed in police encounters are not women), any individual black man is about 2.5 x as likely to be killed by police as any individual white man. (32.2% police killings /13% population, vs 61.4% / 63 % population). Somebody check me on my per-capita statistics, the math is not hard but it can be easy to make mistakes with numbers.

    – An explanation ought to be offered, when presenting these numbers, as to *why* there could be a disproportionate number of black people being killed in police encounters. This could be attributed to a relatively higher incidence of violent crime, that more of the encounters themselves were violent, I think the 41% statistic of police officers being killed by black men might give us the most traction. A police officer is… actually, no, that’s not quite right. Any individual black man is about 3 times as likely to kill a police officer than would be expected if police killings were distributed evenly across the population. Nobody has reported what percentage of police officers are killed by white men but I assume it to be approximately even with the population; If only 50% of officer killings are committed by white men, then it would be fair to say that a black man is roughly 3.78x as likely as a white man to kill a police officer. However, any individual police officer is still 1.2x (if it’s 50% white murderers) to 1.5x (if it’s 63% white murderers) more likely to be killed by a white man than a black man.

    For those of you that are still following along, I hope that you can see that you can tell an interesting story with the numbers reported here without having to distort or misrepresent things (unless I have made a careless mistake with my numbers somewhere!); in this fashion, both sides of the equation are revealed, and we can see that there is a serious problem in the relationship between the black community and the police that results in both sides killing each other at higher rates than would be expected if things were totally even. I believe that a solution will take the form of sincere efforts to improve the relationship between police officers and members of the black community; a return to community policing; mutual respect; the elimination of gang violence; restoration of faith in law and order; and a reduction in the number of violent encounters.

    Unfortunately, the nature of the Black Lives Matter movement (and a general rule of society in the way that community action works, ie, the broader black community) there is no central power structure that can mandate what individuals say or how they act. Because it is a purely social phenomenon, as opposed to a government or political organization, there is no accountability in the actions of the movement. To the extent to which they are a legitimate political body, there have been proposals arising from that camp that I believe are in line with the goals I have set forward: http://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/black-lives-matter-policy-demands_us_55d7392ae4b0a40aa3aa9443

    Similarly, it is almost impossible for society as a whole to try to mandate any particular action within the black community, because it is a social, not a governmental, phenomenon. If there were such a mechanism, I am sure that black community leaders would have already eliminated gang violence and gotten rid of the criminals who cause so much pain and suffering to those around them! However, the concentration of authority within well defined power structures of the police and local governments should theoretically mean that focusing our social pressures along those lines is more likely to produce results. There *are* mechanisms in place by which structural changes can be reliably implemented to change things. It is an ordered system. There is accountability. There is power. Let’s use this power for good! https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/inspired-life/wp/2016/07/21/these-black-lives-matters-protesters-planned-a-march-the-police-threw-them-a-cookout-instead/

    I hope that I have added some nuance to the conversation, although I am 100% sure that by sticking to the numbers and refusing to come down firmly on one or the other side I will now draw the hatred and wrath of the vast majority people who read this.

    • Dean Jordheim

      This is excellent. Too many people try to oversimplify this issue when it is very complicated.

      No one needs to exclaim “BLUE LIVES MATTER” because everyone knows that. That’s like starting a “We need water to survive” campaign.

  • Dean Jordheim

    374 people were killed by lighting in 8 years. That’s about 47 people per year, of which we would have to assume to be an average of about 6 black males. According to my math that is slightly less than 120.

  • Justin R

    I was going to make a timeline of events, sort of a cause and effect type of thing showing the violence, hate, destruction, and crime BLMs was responsible for and showing the events that triggered each outbreak. I stopped because a one page timeline I planned on making was a full page before I expected and at that rate it would of been at least 20 pages.